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What to expect:
  • Heat and humidity build quickly Thursday and peak Thursday and Friday.
  • Heat index values will reach the mid- to upper 90s, with a few locations approaching 100 degrees during the hottest part of the afternoon.
  • Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected each day through at least Saturday, with Friday currently appearing to have the greatest coverage of storms.
  • Any thunderstorm will be capable of producing torrential rainfall, dangerous lightning and localized flash flooding.
  • While widespread severe weather is not expected, a few stronger storms could produce damaging wind gusts, especially well inland.
  • The hot, humid pattern continues through early next week with periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms.

Tonight (Low: 68-72)
Clouds gradually increase overnight with a few scattered showers possible, mainly late this evening through the overnight hours. Most locations will remain dry, but a brief shower cannot be ruled out. It will be noticeably warmer and more humid than recent nights.
Thursday (High: 86-90 | Heat Index: 95-100)
Hot and increasingly humid with a mix of clouds and sunshine. While much of the day will be dry, scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop during the afternoon and evening. Any storm could produce torrential downpours, frequent lightning, gusty winds, and localized flooding. The combination of heat and humidity will make it feel closer to 95 to 100 degrees.
Thursday Night (Low: 69-72)
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible during the evening before gradually diminishing overnight. Warm, muggy conditions continue with lingering humidity.
Friday (High: 87-90 | Heat Index: 95-100)
Another hot, steamy day with increasing sunshine during the morning, followed by developing afternoon thunderstorms. Friday currently looks to feature the highest coverage of storms. Any thunderstorm may produce very heavy rainfall, dangerous lightning, localized flooding, and gusty winds.
Friday Night (Low: 69-71)
Showers and thunderstorms continue into the evening before gradually tapering overnight. Heavy rain may linger in some locations before activity slowly winds down.
Saturday (High: 84-87 | Heat Index: 92-97)
Partly sunny, warm, and humid. A few afternoon showers or thunderstorms remain possible, although many communities will stay dry. Any storm that develops could still produce locally heavy rainfall.
Saturday Night (Low: 68-71)
Partly cloudy and muggy with an isolated evening shower possible before skies partially clear overnight.
Sunday (High: 85-88 | Heat Index: 92-96)
Mostly sunny, hot, and humid. While most of the day should remain dry, the summer-like humidity continues.
Monday (High: 85-88 | Heat Index: 92-96)
Mostly sunny and continued warm with elevated humidity. An isolated shower cannot be ruled out late in the day or at night.
Tuesday (High: 83-86)
Partly sunny with another chance for scattered showers as the unsettled pattern continues.

Weather Alerts, Watches & Hazards
Heat and Humidity (Thursday through Monday)
A tropical air mass settles over the Hudson Valley beginning Thursday, bringing the hottest and most humid weather in several weeks. Afternoon temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to around 90 degrees, while dew points rise into the middle 70s, making it feel much hotter. Heat index values will commonly reach the mid to upper 90s, with some spots approaching 100 degrees during the afternoon. Thursday and Friday are expected to be the most oppressive days, and heat advisories may be issued.
Heavy Rain and Localized Flooding (Thursday through Saturday)
The increasingly humid atmosphere will contain abundant moisture capable of producing torrential tropical-style downpours. Any thunderstorm could quickly produce 1 to 2 inches of rain in a short period of time, leading to localized flash flooding, especially in poor drainage areas, low-lying roads, urban locations, and places where storms repeatedly move over the same area. The Weather Prediction Center continues to highlight the region with a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall through Saturday.
Strong Thunderstorms
Although widespread severe weather is not anticipated, a few stronger thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts, particularly Thursday afternoon and evening across inland locations. Frequent lightning and brief periods of very heavy rainfall will accompany the strongest storms.
Looking Ahead
The overall weather pattern remains locked into a classic midsummer setup through early next week—hot, humid afternoons followed by scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. Not every location will see rain, but any storm that develops will be capable of producing heavy downpours and localized flooding before moving through. Cooler, drier air is not expected anytime soon.